Tuesday, December 23, 2014

LeBron's Kid

http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nba-ball-dont-lie/lebron-james-jr--already-has-a-must-watch-highlight-mix-011116962.html

The only question now is whether he will grow to 6'8" and 250 pounds.

What is remarkable is how much his mannerisms resemble his dad.  He even has those big slow steps when he shoots a layup.  That really slow crossover in the open court where it looks like the ball weighs ten pounds.  The pensive look while shooting free throws.  The lookaway one handed pass underneath.

Monday, December 22, 2014

Josh Smith -- Waived

http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nba-ball-dont-lie/why-the-pistons-waived-josh-smith--and-what-could-happen-next-182934531.html

The oddest thing about Josh Smith is that he is a very good power forward who wants to play small forward and jack a ton of ill-advised shots.  His role model should have been Kevin Garnett, but, instead, he prefers to be Antoine Walker at his worst. 

He would make a good Cavalier if he would just agree to play defense, rebound, and STOP JACKING BAD SHOTS!!!!

But, alas, I doubt that will ever happen, and if he won't stop jacking awful shots, he isn't valuable to any team.

Remarkably, there are actually other NBA players who have had as bad of performance from 3 while shooting over 1,200 3s -- http://bkref.com/tiny/NM3QK  Thank you, Charles Barkley, for giving Josh Smith supporters someone to point to!!

Smith has shot more career 3s than Dwyane Wade (another terrible 3 point shooter).

LeBron/Kyrie/Love -- How Are they Doing?

Well, the Cavs are good at home, and good when they play terrible teams.  They are not going to beat many good teams on the road yet, and they play far too few guys and play the Big 3 way too many minutes.  That is the overall view.

Let's look at how many good games the Big 3 have had this year versus mediocre games versus poor games.

Game Score Over 30 (great game) -- LeBron 2, Love and Kyrie 0.

Game Score at Least 25 (so includes games above) -- LeBron 9, Kyrie 3, Love 2.

Game Score at least 20 -- LeBron 13, Love 3, Kyrie 2.

Let's stop there.  The Cavs have played 26 games.  That means that LeBron has been very good for roughly half of their games,  That isn't a LeBron standard of play.  LeBron, to be LeBron, needs to be over 20 Game Score for 70% plus of games,  In 2013-14, which was not a vintage LBJ year, he was over 20 for Game Score 54 times out of 77 games played -- roughly 70%.  He also had 10 games over 30....13%.  So he is currently at 8%.

Translation -- LeBron has been way, way better than Love or Kyrie, but he has been very bad for being LeBron.

Kyrie has had only 7 Game Scores over 20.  But he DOMINATES Kevin Love in this category; Love has 3.  3 lousy games.  In 2013-14 for Minnesota, Love had 50!!!  games of 20+ game score.  He actually had MORE 30+ games scores than LeBron.  LeBron had 10 such games, Love 13.

Love has had 0 star games, been very good 3 of 26 games, good to mediocre 16 more times, and then been flat out bad 7 times,

Love --     0/3/16/7
LeBron -- 2/13/10/2
Kyrie --    0/10/12/4



Friday, December 19, 2014

The Odd Case of Brandan Wright

Brandan Wright has had 4 very good years for Dallas, playing around 18 minutes a game off the bench. This year, at age 27, he is having the best year of any NBA bench player.  His PER is 26, WS/48 among the 10 best in the league.  He has been awesome.

So, as a big forward, your best years are going to be ages 27-31.  Can Brandan Wright be a starter?  The answer is "probably not."  I can think of no example where a guy at age 27 went from being a good bench player (true bench player, not some guy playing 30 mpg off the bench) to being a good starter.  None.  I am sure it has happened somewhere, but I don't remember it.

So chances are that the Celtics just picked up a guy who will give them 20 really good bench minutes and nothing else.  There is value to that.  The real question is whether the guys who take over Rondo's minutes can approximate Rondo's production. 

But anyone thinking that Wright will be a 30-35 mpg starter should think again.....or at least provide me some historical basis for your position.

Wednesday, December 17, 2014

Caitlin Rasmussen

Sometimes seen on Internet as "Caitlyn Rasmussen".  Houston Texans Cheerleader and Miss Austin 2014.  Remarkably, originally from Kansas.

Merry Christmas, indeed!

Tetyana Veryovkina -- Just a Day at the Beach

https://music.yahoo.com/video/russian-model-tetyana-veryovkina-soaks-114015767.html

Folks, make it past the commercial.  If you have seen ANYONE EVER who looked like this at the beach, then please tell me what beach(es) to visit.

Good lord.  10 of 10.  100 of 100.