Monday, March 31, 2014

Martina Hingis Wins a Doubles Title

First title in 7 years, so that is a reason to post this picture.

Friday, March 28, 2014

Pam Borton - Fired

Some lessons from this firing:

1) You cannot watch 20 players leave the state each year as D-1 players and recruit the McDaniel girl and Mikayla Bailey and Sari Noga; 

2) it hurts when you lose to South Dakota State and its roster loaded with second and third-tier MN players; 

3) you cannot have so few players at year end that you are in danger of forfeiting games - you at least need to fill your 12 or 14 scholarships and have available bodies;

4) you cannot give a girl a "preferred walk on" status if she is scoring 6 points a game in 2A and has a body that resembles mine.

The good thing for the girls who remain -- they probably won't be chased off by the new coach because the new coach will have to fill the roster, so they will accept anyone who will stay.






Happy Birthday to My Lovely Wife

48 today. 

We were engaged 23 years and 2 days ago, married on 5-2-92.  She is the rock of our family.  Peter Townshend once said about John Entwistle - "Without him on stage, we would likely all just float away.  He is our anchor."

Happy Birthday, Accounting Maven.  Still beautiful, just like Lady Di and a 48 year old Susan Sullivan.

Monday, March 24, 2014

Max Scherzer - 6 years and $144M? He Says, "No Thanks."

You just wonder whether the deal would have already been signed if that 3-2 curveball against the BoSox had been correctly called a strike......

Michelle Lewin - Fit

James Rebhorn - Perhaps the Definition of "Veteran Character Actor" - Dead at 65

I greatly enjoyed him in "My Cousin Vinnie", but perhaps my favorite role of his was as the water volleyball playing father who goaded Gaylord Fokker into playing more competitively in "Meet the Parents" and then went with the "It's only a game, Fokker!' line. 


Thursday, March 20, 2014

Are We Seeing the Inevitable Decline of LeBron James?

James sat out last night with back spasms.  His .265 Win Shares per 48 is his worst since his initial season with Miami, and he has nights where he has "Young LeBron" legs and nights where is does not.

James has logged over 32,000 minutes as a player, plus almost 6,000 more in the playoffs.   He is #1 amongst all active players in minutes played per game (39.5), and overall he is #6 on the all-time mpg list, trailing 4 players from the 1960s and Allen Iverson.

With that in mind, we need to look at guys who were really good, who played at least 11 seasons in the league and who were 30 years old and see if ANY of these players maintained a level of play anywhere near even LeBron's career averages of a 28 PER, a WS/48 of .243, and also managed to pay enough minutes going forward to put up at least 20 Win Shares.

The answer is  Magic Johnson played about 2 1/2 seasons after age 29 and 11 years in the league, and he played extremely well -- 25 PER, .250 WS/48.  But due to illness, he played very little and put up about 35 Win Shares.

Michael played very well after age 29, and self-inflicted some wounds to his career by retiring twice and returning as an aged man.  64 Win Shares.  Similarly, David Robinson was still great after 29, but only played enough to roll up 41 Win Shares.

The great old men of basketball are Stockton and Malone, who, despite logging huge minutes and being old, put up close to or over 100 Win Shares after their 11th season.  If you sort the list by WS/48, the guy who is the "swing" guy between "still good" and "not that good" is Garnett.  Below him on the list is Shaq, Kobe, Dr. J, Moses, Bird, etc.  all guys with clear declines after 11 years and age 29.  Above Garnett you get guys who continued to be really good with old age like Dirk, Duncan, Barkley, Stockton, Jordan, Robinson.

Kareem is also a special case.  11 years in for Kareem he was 33 years old.  He subsequently played 10 years and 26,000 minutes!!!!  After 11 years and age 33.  His numbers go down, but my lord, when you start counting seasons for guys at age 40, 41, 42, I would hope their production declines at least somewhat, or the league just has become too horrible to stand.

Anyway - the picture for LeBron going forward?  It is hard to imagine him playing as long as Stockton or Malone.  His game is built far more on mobility than was Malone's and Stockton was a little guy not carrying much weight.  I think that Duncan also plays a far different game than LeBron.  So I would suggest that you need to look at Garnett, Dirk, Bird and Dr. J.  Bird is a nightmare scenario, as he is very low on the list in virtually every category (production and minutes).  Dirk has been good and continues to be good, but diminished.  Garnett had two excellent years and has been ravaged by injury otherwise.  And Dr. J has good solid stats and put up 51 Win Shares, but by 1983 he was a supporting player for Moses Malone and after 1983 Julius's Sixers never did much and basically got out of the way for the Celtics/Lakers rivalry.

So, imagine -- James goes from being a 17 WS a year guy to being a 14 WS guy to being a 10 WS a year guy, plays only 5 more years and slowly gets worse in all phases of the game.  That is an AVERAGE scenario for a player with his age and mileage.    To win a title, he will basically have to do so this year or have a player on his future team who is first team all-NBA (examples - Pippen for Jordan, Magic for Kareem, Gasol for Kobe).

We probably have already seen LeBron's peak.

Tuesday, March 18, 2014

Jason Aldean - In For a Penny, In for a Pound

You have to love the TMZ headline.

Here is the problem with living in a world with such good communications - he bangs this chick, figures he will never see her again.  In the olden days, you could basically know that unless she had your home phone number and was willing to call you at home, she was gone.  Now, my lord, you can find out where someone you haven't seen for 30 years is in around 30 minutes of looking.  And if this is what you are looking for, well, you are going to find it again:

Wednesday, March 12, 2014

Frozen - So Gay

It is a musical after all.  I always wondered about super gay themed titles like "Do You Wanna Build a Snowman?" and "In Summer."

My lord - snowman = "no man"  and Summer = Donna Summer (gay icon).

Anna is boy crazy and hot for a guy, OK two guys, and, um, well, never mind that - obviously a misdirection.

How much more obvious could it be people!!?!?!?

Tuesday, March 11, 2014

The Top 21 Law Schools For 2015 Ranked By U.S. News - With My Acceptance Results From Said Schools In 1986

Yale - rejected.  My application seemed to have been lost in a giant pile of "other" for about 2 months.  I finally called Admissions on a Thursday, resulting in a rejection letter being sent and received by me on a Monday.  Ouch.

Harvard - sent the application and fee on a Friday, was rejected by the next Thursday.  This meant they, at best, received my packet on a Monday and sent a rejection by Wednesday.  It is possible they got it Tuesday and replied Tuesday.  This led my mother to state, "You will never get into any top school anywhere, you better start applying to some second and third-tier schools."  Thanks, Mom.  I feel a lot better now after talking to you.

Stanford - did not apply.

Columbia - accepted.  Was in my final 2 with Duke. 

Chicago - did not apply.  Knew the K lived there, but then he tricked me by going to Duke!

NYU - accepted, law school at NYU cost around $17,000 per year back then; they offered me like $791.....for the three years.....

Penn - did not apply

Virginia -- wait listed.  Was told "you are around 44 on the wait list; I would look elsewhere."

Berkeley - did not apply

Duke - admitted, got $20K scholarship.

Michigan - really wanted to attend, was close to home, got into the Public Policy school, but was rejected for the 4-year law/public policy program. PP guy said that I really should have visited campus to help my chances.  Yeah, fuck you buddy, how about you go to bat for me with the Law School?

NW, Cornell, GTown - did not apply

Texas - accepted.

Did not apply to any others except....

Vandy - accepted, offered $15,000 scholarship, which I thought was odd since Duke gave me $20K and Duke was a higher ranked school.

Minnesota - accepted

Yale University
New Haven, CT
$54,650 per year (full-time) 625
#2Harvard University
Cambridge, MA
$53,308 per year (full-time) 1,741
#3Stanford University
Stanford, CA
$52,530 per year (full-time) 574
#4Columbia University
New York, NY
$57,838 per year (full-time) 1,248
#4University of Chicago
Chicago, IL
$53,301 per year (full-time) 612
#6New York University
New York, NY
$54,678 per year (full-time) 1,418
#7University of Pennsylvania
Philadelphia, PA
$54,992 per year (full-time) 786
#8University of Virginia
Charlottesville, VA
$47,900 per year (in-state, full-time); $52,900 per year (out-of-state, full-time) 1,048
#9University of California—​Berkeley
Berkeley, CA
$48,058 per year (in-state, full-time); $52,009 per year (out-of-state, full-time) 854
#10Duke University
Durham, NC
$53,596 per year (full-time) 629
#10University of Michigan—​Ann Arbor
Ann Arbor, MI
$49,784 per year (in-state, full-time); $52,784 per year (out-of-state, full-time) 1,055
#12Northwestern University
Chicago, IL
$55,064 per year (full-time) 763
#13Cornell University
Ithaca, NY
$57,270 per year (full-time) 576
#13Georgetown University
Washington, DC
$50,890 per year (full-time) 1,694
#15University of Texas—​Austin
Austin, TX
$33,162 per year (in-state, full-time); $49,244 per year (out-of-state, full-time) 1,046
#16University of California—​Los Angeles
Los Angeles, CA
$45,226 per year (in-state, full-time); $51,720 per year (out-of-state, full-time) 975
#16Vanderbilt University
Nashville, TN
$48,160 per year (full-time) 566
#18Washington University in St. Louis
St. Louis, MO
$49,945 per year (full-time) 687
#19Emory University
Atlanta, GA
$48,174 per year (full-time) 811
#20George Washington University
Washington, DC
$49,840 per year (full-time) 1,287
#20University of Minnesota—​Twin Cities
Minneapolis, MN
$40,058 per year (in-state, full-time); $47,330 per year (out-of-state, full-time) 721
#20University of Southern California (Gould)
Los Angeles, CA
$55,023 per year (full-time)